Published On: Thu, Jun 24th, 2021

UK Government’s big “vaccine” rollout failure latest: a too-large group of young still not taking first dose

In a week where there has been a “Super Saturday”, when soccer stadiums in London were used as “vaccination” centres (providing another reason to stop for those who should know better, but yet cling on to the infantilism of supporting a football team), the predictions made in the previous FBEL article on this matter, regarding relatively low uptake in 30-39 year-olds, still look as if they will bear out.

And despite the demented fear porn propaganda produced by UK Government regarding spiralling “case” numbers – which was also commented on in the previous article – the new weekly “vaccine” data from Public Health England up to 20th June, released today, shows that first dose recipiency is still way below what it had been at what must be called the peak of the roll out in March when 3 million people in a week took a shot, with 2 million regularly being injected each week before that.

Of the 1,235,373 people who were “vaccinated” in the week to 20th June, 906,885 were under 30s. This means that 73.4% of all first dose “vaccinations” this week were given to people in demographic groups where the “vaccine” had newly or very recently become available. The vast majority of take up this week, then, belonged to people who didn’t need to persuaded. In other words, the people in the under-30s super grouping who were going to get a “vaccine” when it became available went and got one.

The problem for UK Government – again, despite recruiting the assistance of whoring football clubs which especially deserve to fail – is that lots of people who needed to have been persuaded were not tempted.

In all the age groups where people are 40 years-old and over, the first dose programme has essentially finished. In this super-group, the category of  people aged 45-49 have proved most rebellious, with 14.49% of them not allowing themselves to be jabbed even once. The figure is less for the 40-44s, at 12.06%. And with the 8.03% of 50 to 54 year olds, who deserve to be included in the Generation-X bloc (and separated from the scorn that everyone else over the age of 50 deserves), this amounts to some one and quarter million people refusing the first “vaccine”.

While the too-large group of under-50s who have not had a “vaccine” would already be a headache for UK Government, it won’t cause as big a one as the under-30s will when it all pans out.

In the age range of 35-39 years-old, 77.98% have now been invaded for a first time, with the percentage increase dropping to 2.8% ((i.e. the cumulative total of first doses administered had increased by 2.8% of the total of the previous week). The prediction was that no more than 80% of this group would not have a single dose of a “Covid-19 vaccine”, and it remains good.

In the age range of 30-34 years-old, 71.27% have had the jab. Previously, it was said about this group that:

The future of this group depends on how low the percentage increase drops into single figures next week – which it will very likely do. At the high end it could mean around 85% receiving the jab, and at the low end only around 77%. This represents between 0.5 and 0.9 million refusing the “vaccination”.

As it turned out, the percentage increase came in at 6%, which could very well mean that  only 77% will get the first jab.

In terms of actual numbers of people refusing the first dose of vaccine product, 20% of 30 to 39 year olds equates to 1 and half million. However, it’s pretty certain that there will be more: anything up to another quarter of a million. This is not counting the under-30s, of course, about which it is too early to say anything incredibly definite. We do know that 52.76% of people in the 25-29 years-old grouping have received a first dose, and that this demographic came out of the blocks with a high percentage increase (over 20%), which means that there was a high rate of uptake when this group started to have its own column in the data. There has tended to be a sharp fall-off where this has happened before, so we might expect the percentage increase next week to be anything from a single figure up to around 15% (for a drop into a single figure the week after that). It means that the result for this grouping might in the end resemble that for the under-30s – more disaster for UK Government.

Meanwhile, corporate-media was gaslighting, and using “Super Saturday” to be positive about take-up in young people, and one might have seen reports of the like which came out of ITV, for example:

There had been fears that young people would not be as keen to get the vaccine, but that’s certainly not the case, ITV News Political Correspondent David Wood said.

The truth of the matter is that the “fear”, which is that of UK Government’s, is not that young people generally would not be keen, but that there would be too many young refusers – too many to be able to move to a phase of having “vaccine” certification without having a much too noticeable apartheid. And so, the fear remains, and this is why yesterday Yahoo News reports:

Vaccines minister appeals for jab uptake

Vaccines minister Nadhim Zahawi has urged people to come forward for both doses of the Covid vaccine, “whatever your age, whatever your background”. He said the UK’s “enthusiasm” for the jab means the country is “getting a little bit safer every day”.

Surely there is no need to comment on the Orwellian wording where a state of enthusiasm exists in the nation, and yet an appeal from UK Government for people to have “vaccines” is required. However, the reader is urged to note that at this stage, first dose roll out to the over-40s is finished, and the appeal is actually being made to the under-39s. However, if UK Government were to target its appeal as it needs to, then it would be drawing attention to its failure – thus, it studiously avoids making a distinction.

When it comes to second doses, these are more or less over for all groups over 60, and finishing off for groups under that to 50 – so this is another reason why this Nadhim Zahawi character was not really talking to people of “whatever” age.

Evidence comes in the form of small and “undead” percentage increases (please see previous bulletins for the meaning of the term), and also deficits in uptake compared with what they should be according to figures for March 28th and the 12 weeks intervening period between the first jab given then and the second scheduled for now†.

Another clue is the 33% less second doses given this week compared with last. The trend of less doses being administered every week has been going happening for four weeks, and the 1,121,312 second doses given last week was the lowest number since 21st March.

Any category for people over 70 is not worth the talking about, because it’s not clear if there has been refusal, or if there has been death. However, the average for all deaths for people aged between 45 to 64 (in England) across 26th March to 11th June is similar to 2019, so where there are missing second doses under the age of 70, they are going to be refusals (or abstinence for medical reasons). [Note, the death data for 65-70 year-olds falls into a higher category in the 2019 ONS charts, and it was deemed too much effort, in return for what would be unremarkable information, to winkle them out].

To keep this succinct, this remainder of this section on second doses will be itemised rather that discussed at further length:

65-69s: second doses have peaked at 92.6%, compared with 95.14% who took the first. It represents 70,661 first dose recipients not having the second.

60-64s: with percentage increase to go “undead” next week, currently at 95.2%.  99.74% took the first dose. As things stand – and it won’t change by much – 139,225 first dose recipients won’t have the second.

55-59s: Second dose recipiency standing at 91.26%, compared with 97.56% for the first dose. The author predicts a final 5-6% refusal rate (so, 94-95% recipiency), meaning that (around) 118,424 first dose recipients won’t have the second.

50-54s: 84.21% (second dose) versus 91.97% (first dose). Predicting final 3% difference between the two, meaning that around 117 thousand of first dose recipients will refuse the second jab.

Please note, all numbers are for England only.

 

 

† Next week, in the 50-59 year-old groupings, there is going to be a minus figure for those who should have had their second dose according to when they had their first dose twelve weeks before. At this point, all groups over 50 will have this characteristic. Obviously, it represents recipients who have gone missing for their second dose.

[The featured image is taken from a Telegraph article which credits Jamie Lorriman (the image is captioned “Thousands are queuing up for vaccines at ‘super pop-up’ stadiums with Indian/delta variant cases rising”).]

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