Watch southern Donetsk

While the “pro-Russian” OSINT-mongering twaterati can tell you everything you need to know about prospective Ukrainian “offensives” (as is their vocation), it seems entirely unreasonable that they should have a complete understanding of Russian activity in Donetsk, and it’s unlikely that they do. Apparently, separate from the alternative More...

by P W Laurie | Published 1 year ago
By P W Laurie On Sunday, November 13th, 2022
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Russian progress in Donetsk as at 13th November

This site has been tracking Russian progress in Donetsk since July 27th (in the first report published August 9th), and there isn’t a single occasion when the maps used for reference did not show an advance. If More...

By P W Laurie On Friday, November 11th, 2022
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Surovikin said it himself: the Kherson withdrawal is for “offensives in other directions”, but this detail appears to be overlooked in all the analysis

[The description of the featured image at its source says: “Marines of the Pacific Fleet and servicemen of the OBTF ‘KasKad’ hoisted the flags of Russia and the Navy in Pavlovka”; October 10th, 2022] There’s More...

By P W Laurie On Saturday, October 8th, 2022
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Russian gains and Ukrainian losses in Donetsk, 1st September to 7th October

Today we are all of us supposed to be agitated about an explosion that occurred on the road section of the Kerch Strait Bridge that links Crimea with mainland Russia, but at FBEL this cannot and will not be done. Although More...

By P W Laurie On Tuesday, September 27th, 2022
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The Russian partial mobilisation is but a component in what was always an inevitability

It was said before in this place that the Russians were systematists in their Special Military Operation, and so it’s actually not very surprising to see a partial mobilisation of 300,000 of Russian reservists More...

By P W Laurie On Saturday, September 17th, 2022
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Charted: the demilitarisation of Ukraine in Donetsk

The map embedded in this page shows, for the most part, the territory of the Donetsk People’s Republic (both liberated and occupied). Overlaid on to the map are two lines of contact apparently as claimed by Russia More...

By P W Laurie On Thursday, September 15th, 2022
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Russia shoots bullets, Ukraine dances; or Kherson and Kharkov: the aftermath

The Ukrainian propaganda outlets also known as pro-Russian social media OSINT-mongers excelled themselves yesterday by announcing that there had been a “breakthrough” of the Russian defence at Davydov Brod in More...

By P W Laurie On Tuesday, September 13th, 2022
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Human Wave sacrifice for blue map in Kharkov, Ukrainian failure still fait accompli, and how criterion for a good result likely to have been satisfied

Although it is highly unfashionable, there is no marvelling in these parts for the so-called achievements of the Ukrainians in Kharkov this week. Blunt, primitive, strategically blundering, and not mindful of the More...

By P W Laurie On Wednesday, September 7th, 2022
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Putting the Kherson bluff into perspective: a month of real Russian gains in northern Donetsk

Taking a short break from this site’s ongoing coverage (as far as it can be bothered with) of the recent military occurrences supposedly targeting the Kherson region of the Ukraine, this is going to be a look More...

By P W Laurie On Tuesday, September 6th, 2022
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The theatre on the banks of the Ingulets

General Introduction Incredibly, the effort to sustain the notion of an ongoing Ukrainian counteroffensive in Kherson continues one week after it was spoken into existence, and a considerable number of days after More...